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Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 40%, Republicans 40%

As the federal government shutdown continues without an end in sight, Democrats have lost their lead of the last two weeks and are again running even with Republicans on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending Sunday, October 6, shows that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while another 40% would choose the Republican instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 30-October 6, 2013. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

45% View Health Care Law Favorably, 49% Unfavorably

Unfavorable reviews of the new national health care law have fallen below 50% for the first time in several months, but voters more strongly than ever support individual choice when it comes to determining how much health insurance someone needs to buy.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of the health care law, while 49% view it unfavorably. This includes 23% with a Very Favorable opinion and 38% with a Very Unfavorable one. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 4-5, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 4, 2013

The longer the federal government remains partially shut down, the more the partisan blame game escalates. But voters remain conflicted, just as they are about the health care law at the heart of the dispute.

70% Give Congress Poor Rating

It’s hard to believe it could get any worse, but negative reviews for Congress are at their highest level in nearly two years.

Nine percent (9%) of Likely Voters rate the way Congress is doing its job as good or excellent, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Seventy percent (70%) of voters say Congress is doing a poor job. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 2-3, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

86% Say It’s Important For Economy to Provide All Chance to Succeed

More voters now support an economic system that provides everyone a chance to succeed, and they generally believe it is fair and helpful for the economy to let those who are successful become very rich.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 86% of Likely U.S. Voters now think it is at least somewhat important for the economic system to provide everybody with an opportunity to succeed, up five points from May and the highest finding yet. Just 10% do not think that is important, the lowest to date. This includes 58% who think it’s Very Important for everyone to have a chance to succeed, and just two percent (2%) who think it’s Not At All Important. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 30-October 1, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

28% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

For the second week in a row, 28% of Likely U.S. Voters say the country is heading in the right direction.

The latest finding ties the lowest level of optimism since early August, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 29. In late August and the first two weeks of September, 30% felt the U.S. was heading in the right direction. 

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 23-29, 2013. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

President Obama’s Full-Month Approval Rating Up One in September

When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.

The president’s total job approval inched up a point to 48% in September, his highest rating since May.  Still, that’s down eight points from December’s high of 56%. The president’s ratings for the past four months are more in line with his approval during most of his first term in office.

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34% Rate Obama Good or Excellent on Gun Control

Fewer voters than ever give President Obama positive ratings on gun control-related issues.

Just 34% of Likely U.S. Voters now rate the president’s handling of issues related to gun control as good or excellent, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. That’s down from a high of 45% in April. Forty-two percent (42%) give Obama poor marks for his performance in this area. Since the beginning of the year, his poor rating has ranged from a low of 34% to a high of 46%. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 26-27, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Rasmussen Employment Index Falls to 2013 Low

The Rasmussen Employment Index which measures worker confidence fell four points in September to the lowest level this year.

At 82.0, worker confidence is down 12 points from this year’s high of 94.4 in May and is at the lowest level measured since last November.  Still, the latest finding is up from 76.6 found this time last year.

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The survey of 9,452 working Americans was conducted in September 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 42%, Republicans 38%

Democrats have extended their lead over Republicans on the Generic Congressional Ballot as the deadline for a federal government shutdown approaches.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 29 shows that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38% would choose the Republican instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 23-29, 2013. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

50% Oppose Health Care Law’s Individual Mandate, 36% Favor

One-out-of-two U.S. voters continues to oppose the national health care law’s requirement that every American have health insurance. Most also still don’t know if their state has a health care exchange even though those exchanges are scheduled to start signing up insurance applicants beginning tomorrow.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Likely U.S. Voters believe the government should require every American to buy or obtain health insurance, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Fifty percent (50%) disagree and oppose the so-called individual mandate. Fourteen percent (14%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 28-29, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending September 27, 2013

One Democratic senator said Friday that national politics have reached a dangerous level not seen since the Civil War. Maybe it’s no surprise then that nearly one-out-of-five voters are talking secession.

Voters Think Obama More Hostile to Small Businesses Than to Big Ones

Voters continue to think President Obama is more hostile to small business than he is to big business. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters feel Obama’s policies toward small businesses are too hostile. That's down from 51% a month ago which marked the first time that finding topped 50% but more in line with findings earlier this year.  Just three percent (3%) think his policies are too friendly toward small businesses. Thirty-nine percent (39%) say his policies in this area about right, up from a low of 35%. Twelve percent (12%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 24-25, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

33% Trust the President More Than Congress, Supreme Court

Democrats strongly trust the president more than Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court, while Republicans and unaffiliated voters have mixed feelings about all three branches of the federal government.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 33% of all Likely U.S. Voters trust the president most. Twenty-three percent (23%) trust the Supreme Court more, while just 15% put their faith in Congress. Twenty-nine percent (29%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 22-23, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

35% Think School Performance Would Improve with More Funding

Voters still agree taxpayers aren’t getting a good return on their investment in education and aren't inclined to think spending more will make any difference. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just eight percent (8%) of Likely Voters are aware that the United States on average spends about $10,000 on education per student per year.  Forty-eight percent (48%) believe the country spends less than that amount, including 41% who believe it spends $7,000 or less. Another eight percent (8%) believe the country spends $12,000 per student per year. A sizable 36%, however, don’t know how much the nation spends on the average student. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 11-12, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

28% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey for the week ending September 22.

This week’s finding is the lowest level of optimism since early August. For the past three weeks, 30% felt the U.S. was heading in the right direction. 

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 16-22, 2013. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia Governor: McAuliffe (D) 44%, Cuccinelli (R) 38%

Democrat Terry McAuliffe still holds a six-point lead over Republican Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli in the race to be Virginia’s next governor.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds McAuliffe with 44% support to Cuccinelli’s 38%. Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis earns six percent (6%) of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while 11% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,050 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on September 23, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

GOP Trusted More Than Democrats on 10 of 15 Key Issues

Voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on 10 out of the 15 major issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports.

When it comes to the most important issue on voters’ minds, the economy, the GOP leads by a 44% to 37% margin, according to new national telephone surveying.  Democrats held an advantage on this issue in surveys from November 2006 until early 2009.  Since June 2009, the GOP has led in all but one survey.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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Three national surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters each were conducted on September 8-9, 12-13 & 18-19, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 40%, Republicans 37%

Democrats have their biggest lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot since mid-April. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 22 shows that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 37% would choose the Republican instead. The two parties were tied for the previous two weeks. This is the first time since early August that either party has hit the 40% mark and is also the largest gap between the two parties since the GOP posted a three-point lead at that time. For most of the summer, both sides have earned less than 40% support.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 16-22, 2013. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

30% Think Obamacare Will Improve U.S. Health Care System

As Congress debates the fate of President Obama’s national health care law, just over half of voters continue to believe the law will worsen the U.S. health care system, but they are slightly more optimistic than they’ve been all year.

Thirty percent (30%) of Likely U.S. Voters now believe the nation’s health care system will get better under the new law, up eight points from 22% a month ago and the most positive assessment to date. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% still think the law will make the health care system worse, but that’s the lowest level of pessimism since February. Eleven percent (11%) expect things to remain about the same. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 20-21, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.