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Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 49%, Smith (R) 38%

Incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, Jr. continues to attract support from about half of Pennsylvania voters and holds a significant lead over his Republican rival in the U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Pennsylvania Voters shows Casey earning 49% support, while Tom Smith picks up 38% of the vote.  Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls -- For The Week Ending July 21, 2012

Central to the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney is the question of how big a role the government should play in the economy.

Voters strongly believe that it’s important for the government to create an environment that encourages economic growth and ensures economic fairness, but growth is seen as the higher priority. Most believe Romney champions growth, while Obama is more focused on fairness.

54% Expect More Partisanship in Washington

Just over half of voters now expect politics in the nation’s capital to become more partisan, the lowest finding in well over a year.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters expect more partisanship in Washington, D.C., over the next year. That’s down from 61% last month and the lowest finding since January 2011.  

Nineteen percent (19%) expect politics in the capital to be more cooperative over the next year, the highest finding since March 2011. Twenty-seven percent (27%), however, are not sure what to expect. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 15-16, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44%

President Obama continues to run slightly ahead of Mitt Romney in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds Obama earning 48% of the vote, while Romney receives 44% support.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 46%, Mandel (R) 42%

Incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown still holds a modest lead over Republican challenger Josh Mandel in Ohio’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Brown with 46% support to Mandel’s 42%. Four percent (4%) prefer another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Ohio survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45%

The presidential race remains tight in the key battleground state of Ohio where President Obama has inched slightly ahead of Mitt Romney.

A new Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Voters in the Buckeye State shows Obama with 47% of the vote to Romney’s 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 46%, Allen (R) 45%

Following President Obama’s visit to the state last Friday and Saturday with Democratic Senate candidate Tim Kaine by his side, the Virginia Senate race remains locked tight.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Kaine with 46% support to Republican George Allen’s 45%. Five percent (5%) favor some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on July 16-17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

28% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, July 15.

That's down four points from 32% the week before which marked the highest level of optimism since early March.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 9-15, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 46%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are still neck-and-neck in the important battleground state of Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Obama picking up 47% of the vote to Romney’s 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on July 16-17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 43%, Democrats 40%

Republicans lead Democrats by three points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the second week in a row, this time for the week ending Sunday, July 15.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 40% would choose the Democrat instead.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from July 9-15, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

54% Think Health Care Law Will Drive Up Costs; 52% Favor Repeal

Most voters continue to believe President Obama’s health care law will drive up the cost of health care and increase the federal deficit. Most still favor repeal of the law, too. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Votes at least somewhat favor repeal of the health care law, with 41% who are Strongly Favor it. Forty-two percent (42%) are at least somewhat opposed to repeal, with 32% who are Strongly Opposed. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on July 13-14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota Governor: Dalrymple (R) 61%, Taylor (D) 26%

In Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the North Dakota gubernatorial race, Republican incumbent Jack Dalrymple holds a commanding lead over his Democratic challenger. 

A new telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters finds Dalrymple earning 61% of the vote to Ryan Taylor's 26%.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and 11% are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 400 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on July 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls -- For The Week Ending July 14, 2012

Election Day is less than four months away, and Rasmussen Reports this week opened its Election 2012 roundup page to bring you the one stop you’ll need to make every day for the latest in political polling news. It features our breaking news polls, in-depth looks at how the presidential candidates stack up the Electoral College, how Senate races nationwide are going, even the Twitter feeds from the candidates themselves.

President Obama and Mitt Romney continue to run neck-and-neck in our daily Presidential Tracking Poll. But right now, Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections show states with 207 Electoral Votes in President Obama’s column, while states with 170 Electoral Voters are projected to go for Mitt Romney. When leaners are included, it’s Obama 247, Romney 191. Seven states, with 100 Electoral College votes, are currently rated as Toss-Ups. 

One of those toss-ups is the key swing state of Florida where new polling finds Romney with 46% support to Obama’s 45%. This is little changed since April after the president posted slight leads earlier in the year.

Romney's well ahead in North Dakota – 51% to 36% - a state that’s considered Safe Republican. Republican Congressman Rick Berg is leading former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp by nine points – 49% to 40% - in the U.S. Senate race in North Dakota.

60% Say Congress Doing Poor Job

Positive ratings for Congress continue to hover in the single digits, and a plurality of voters still believes most members of the national legislature are corrupt.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows that just seven percent (7%) say Congress is doing a good or excellent job. Sixty percent (60%) say the legislators are doing a poor job, a slight improvement from the last several months. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 11-12, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota: Romney 51%, Obama 36%

Mitt Romney's well ahead in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the presidential race in North Dakota. 

A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Romney earning 51% support to President Obama’s 36%. Six percent (6%) prefers some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 400 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on July 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

47% Think U.S. and Allies Are Winning War on Terror

Confidence in how the United States is doing in the War on Terror has fallen to its lowest level this year.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters now think the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That's down from 51% last month and the lowest finding since November.  Fifteen percent (15%) say the terrorists are winning. Twenty-nine percent (29%) feel neither side is ahead, also the highest finding since November. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. 

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 9-10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota Senate: Berg (R) 49%, Heitkamp (D) 40%

Republican Congressman Rick Berg is leading former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp by nine points in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the U.S. Senate race in North Dakota.

A new telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Berg with 49% support to Heitkamp’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 400 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on July 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

32% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, July 8.

That's up two points from 30% the week before but in line with findings for most of this year. This marks the highest level of optimism since early March.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 2-8, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

Florida Senate: Mack (R) 46%, Nelson (D) 37%

Republican Congressman Connie Mack draws his highest level of support yet against incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in Florida’s 2012 U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Mack earning 46% of the vote to Nelson’s 37%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on July 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida: Romney 46%, Obama 45%

Florida’s a key swing state in this year’s presidential contest, and it remains in play with President Obama and Mitt Romney still running almost even there.

Florida is considered a Toss-Up State in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Currently, states with 207 Electoral Votes are projected to go for President Obama while states with 170 Electoral Voters are projected to go for Mitt Romney. States with 161 Electoral Votes are projected to be either Toss-Ups or Leaners.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 46% support to the president’s 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer someone else, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on July 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.