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Political Commentary

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February 9, 2024

Toward a Demotic Republican Party By Michael Barone

   What happens when a political party becomes demotic? Before answering the question, note that the word in question is not demonic, from the Greek word daimon, meaning a deity (remember that the Greek gods were notoriously jealous and greedy), but demotic, from the Greek word demos, meaning the people -- the same root as democratic.

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February 8, 2024

The Race for the House, Part Two By Kyle Kondik

Rating changes in 7 districts a mixed bag for each party; previewing the NY-3 special.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— We are making 7 House rating changes this week, with 4 benefiting Democrats and 3 benefiting Republicans.

— Republicans continue to be closer to the magic number of 218 in our ratings than Democrats, but there are enough Toss-up races that we broadly consider the race for the House to be a Toss-up overall.

— The NY-3 special remains highly competitive less than a week before the election.

February 7, 2024

AI Is Coming for Your Job? By John Stossel

The media warn, "Artificial intelligence will replace millions of jobs."

February 6, 2024

Is Taylor Swift Trouble for Trump? By Daniel McCarthy

   She's just won the Grammy for album of the year.

February 6, 2024

Biden's War Against the Internet By Stephen Moore

It's a miracle of private sector innovation and the magic of the free enterprise system that technologies that were only the playthings of the super-rich a generation ago are now available and affordable to almost all Americans.

February 2, 2024

Systemic Lying Corrodes Once-great Institutions By Michael Barone

The last six or seven months have been a couple of tough seasons for public policies based on lies. Two examples come to mind.

February 2, 2024

Lost Trust in Healthcare Experts – What Happened? By Brian Joondeph

Trust is foundational in relationships, whether between two individuals or between individuals and institutions.

A Gallup survey from last summer found, “Americans’ faith in major societal institutions hasn’t improved over the past year following a slump in public confidence in 2022."

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February 1, 2024

A Deeper Dig into the Granite By J. Miles Coleman and Kyle Kondik

The Trump, Haley, and Biden coalitions in the New Hampshire primary.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

—With a lull in the primary calendar, we thought we’d take a closer look at last week’s New Hampshire primary.

—Nikki Haley’s town-level victories were confined almost exclusively to places that Joe Biden carried in the 2020 general election.

—Although Biden showed some weakness in a few of the state’s larger cities, he carried nearly every town in the state.

—The GOP primary saw the most raw votes cast of any New Hampshire primary contest, but that was driven in part by participation from voters who likely won’t be voting Republican for president in the fall.

January 31, 2024

A Libertarian President! By John Stossel

   Argentina actually elected a libertarian president.

January 30, 2024

The Gambling Industry Wants to Make Fantasy Sports Leagues Illegal By Stephen Moore

   Here's a sad and textbook case of how companies all too often use the strong-arm of government to destroy their competition.

January 30, 2024

Trump's Map to the White House By Daniel McCarthy

   In 2020, Joe Biden won three states by less than 1 point: Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin.

January 26, 2024

DeSantis Withdrawal Paved the Way for Likely Trump-Biden Rematch By Michael Barone

What went wrong with Ron DeSantis' presidential campaign? You can list many arguable mistakes, as you can with any campaign, and you can add, as some reporters have, that the candidate was not likable or good at retail campaigning -- which mostly reflected reporters' personal dislike of DeSantis or resentment at his refusal to schmooze what he considered unfriendly press.

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January 25, 2024

The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting By J. Miles Coleman

In vintage Louisiana fashion, Democrats gain a second Louisiana seat.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Earlier this week, Gov. Jeff Landry (R-LA) signed a new House map that creates a second Black-majority seat in the state.

— The new district, stretching from Baton Rouge to Shreveport, would have favored Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020 and is Safe Democratic.

— Former Rep. Cleo Fields (D) seems to be a frontrunner for the new seat, and, if elected, would return to Congress after a nearly 30 year absence.

— Aside from its partisan implications, the new map could be interpreted as Landry’s attempt at punishing Rep. Garret Graves (R, LA-6).

January 24, 2024

The Most Dangerous Conservative By John Stossel

The New York Times put Charles Murray on the cover of its Sunday Magazine, calling him "The Most Dangerous Conservative."

January 23, 2024

Will 'Lawfare' Take Trump Off the Ballot? By Daniel McCarthy

The biggest threat to the Constitution in 2024 is the "lawfare" being waged against Donald Trump -- and the Supreme Court is as much its target as Trump is.

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January 23, 2024

The REAL Story of the Two Americas By Stephen Moore

For the past 30 years or so, the Left has invented a narrative that there are two Americas: a group of very super-rich people (the one-percenters) who have prospered over the past several decades, and everyone else who has gotten poorer. It's a fairy-tale narrative because almost all Americans have seen financial progress. The median household income adjusted for inflation rose by more than 40% since 1984.

January 19, 2024

No Gary Hart Bounce for DeSantis or Haley By Michael Barone

Forty years ago, when Walter Mondale won 49% in Iowa's Democratic caucuses, far ahead of Gary Hart's 16%, the media spotlight nonetheless immediately focused.

With the help of a brilliant spot by consultant Ray Strother showing him tossing a hatchet into a tree, Hart went on to win the New Hampshire primary eight days later, 37% to 28%, and he suddenly became the favorite.

January 17, 2024

Afraid to Speak By John Stossel

Before anyone was "canceled" for saying a "wrong" thing, actress Emily Blunt and I feared speaking.

January 16, 2024

New Bank Regulations Will Hurt Small Businesses and Middle-Class Borrowers the Most

   The rapid succession of bank failures last spring clearly spooked federal regulators at the FDIC, the Federal Reserve Board and bank depositors.

The bad decision-making at Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank caused the regulators to implement emergency life preserver measures to banks and conjured up memories of the 2008 financial crisis.

January 12, 2024

Democracy Not at Risk, but Not Operating Optimally By Michael Barone

Is democracy at risk this election year?