We mentioned a few weeks ago that we misplaced our Crystal Ball. As an update, we regret to say that we still have not found it. So no final ratings this year. Have fun on Tuesday!
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OK, fine, we’ll give it a try.
"The only garbage I see out there is his supporters," said President Joe Biden on Tuesday evening, referencing a comedian's comment at former President Donald Trump's Madison Square Garden rally, as Vice President Kamala Harris delivered on the Ellipse, visible from the White House windows, what her campaign has described as her "closing argument" speech of her campaign.
Election 2024 is less than a week away. Media reports, particularly on social media, are in a gaslighting frenzy of fake news and misinformation. It is hard to know what to believe and what is nonsense. Opinion polls, while hardly perfect, at least provide a quantitative peek behind the electoral curtain.
You may have heard that last week 24 Nobel economists wrote that Vice President Kamala Harris' economic plan would be better for America than the Trump agenda. The joint letter was spearheaded by the hyperpolitical Joseph Stiglitz. Yes, the same Joe Stiglitz who infamously flew to Caracas to endorse Hugo Chavez's economic policies in 2007.
Kamala Harris is pioneering a new divide-and-conquer strategy to win the White House: She's dividing families -- encouraging wives to split from husbands at the ballot box.
Was it just a coincidence that Vice President Kamala Harris showed up, 15 minutes late, to be interviewed by Fox News' Bret Baier a day before Nate Silver's poll aggregation website showed her chances of winning the election slipping below 50%? Probably not.
— We are pushing a few House Toss-ups out of that category this week, leaving revised ratings that show 212 House seats at least leaning Republican, 209 at least leaning Democratic, and 14 Toss-ups.
— Just like in the presidential race, there’s still no favorite in the House.
— We also are moving Sen. Deb Fischer’s (R-NE) race from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, as the Republican cavalry has had to ride in to help her in her contest against independent Dan Osborn.
Election Day is rapidly approaching, and Donald Trump is teaching a master class in campaigning and peaking at the right time. Fortunately, he is still the Republican candidate despite efforts to remove him from the ballot through lawfare and several failed assassination attempts.
What does it take for a parent to get arrested?
Kamala Harris is running a campaign against herself.
In the one debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the vice president attacked Trump for having a racist record, citing his statements in response to the protests In Charlottesville back in 2017.
Not everything significant politically is happening just in the target states.
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris keep making new promises.
Here is something no one in the media is reporting as Vice President Kamala Harris continues to duck and weave like Muhammad Ali in the ring to avoid any questions about her economic plan.
Jonathan Draeger, reporter for RealClearPolitics, wrote Tuesday that "the 2024 presidential contest couldn't be tighter." Unless, of course, it turns out not to be nearly as close as this season's run of polls suggests it is.
— In North Carolina, Kamala Harris seems likely to gain in suburban Cabarrus County but may have to watch rural counties like Wilson.
— While it is not the most likely case, two Georgia counties that have trended in the opposite direction, Fayette and Sumter, could both conceivably flip.
— While Phoenix’s Maricopa County dominates Arizona, raw vote margins in a trio of its other large counties have proved predictive.
— In Nevada, Las Vegas and Reno predominate.
Some politicians and activists are eager to give you "free" money.
Climate change continues to be a hot election issue, at least for Democrats.
At the recent vice-presidential debates, one of Republican J.D. Vance’s several debate opponents, CBS’s Norah O’Donnell, when asking about Hurricane Helen, started not with disaster relief, but the usual Democrat canard of climate change: “Scientists say climate change makes these hurricanes larger, stronger and more deadly because of the historic rainfall.”
Is this the important issue Democrats claim it to be?
Pew Research ranked climate change 10th on a list of 10 top issues for voters in the 2024 election.
Democrats should brace for a shock four weeks from now -- the possibility not just of a victory for former President Donald Trump but a win so big Trump even beats Vice President Kamala Harris in the popular vote.
