April 6, 2023
The presidential trends from Pennsylvania to Florida.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— After looking at the Midwest last week, we’re comparing the presidential voting trajectory of the bigger counties versus the rest of the state in a number of eastern states.
— Georgia had exactly opposite top and bottom halves in 2020, with a very Republican (but stable) bottom half and Democratic-trending top half driven by changes in Atlanta.
— North Carolina and Pennsylvania are mirror images on opposite sides of the political divide.
— Florida’s turn toward the Republicans has been a bit more pronounced in its top half of bigger counties compared to its bottom half, making it an outlier among the states we’ve studied.
— South Carolina’s status as a red state is much more about its top half than its bottom half.