If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
November 3, 2022

Secretary of State and Attorney General: What to Watch for Next Week in Key Statewide Contests By Louis Jacobson

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In our final pre-election handicapping of key down-ballot contests this year, we see 11 secretary of state races and 12 state attorney general races as competitive.

— The races attracting the most attention nationally, understandably, are those that involve Republican nominees who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. Whether such candidates can win this year in such presidential battleground states as Arizona and Nevada could have a big impact on the 2024 presidential race.

— It remains to be seen whether these Trump-aligned candidates can ride the Republican midterm tailwind to victory, or whether GOP voters and GOP-leaning independents decide to pick and choose which Republicans they vote for this year.

White letter R on blue background
November 2, 2022

Inconvenient Facts by John Stossel

Electric cars sales are up 66% this year.

White letter R on blue background
November 1, 2022

Who Really Shut Down Our Businesses and Schools? By Stephen Moore

A big issue that has emerged in the final days of the midterm election campaigns is the lockdowns of our schools and businesses during the COVID-19 pandemic.

White letter R on blue background
October 28, 2022

'Save Our Democracy' Is the New 'Russia Collusion' by Patrick Buchanan

 At this point, it would save everyone time if Democrats could simply point to a policy agenda item that isn't going to save democracy -- if such a thing exists.

White letter R on blue background
October 28, 2022

Republicans are Going to Win Big in November – Here’s Why by Brian C. Joondeph

If you get your news from Twitter, the New York Times or the Washington Post, or virtually any cable or TV news network...

White letter R on blue background
October 28, 2022

This Campaign's Missing Issues: Foreign Policy and Economic Redistribution by Michael Barone

What issues are the candidates and the parties not talking about? It's worth asking, because sometimes these issues turn out to be important.

White letter R on blue background
October 26, 2022

Betting on 2022 By John Stossel

Some pundits say that Democrats will win the midterms.

White letter R on blue background
October 25, 2022

Biden's Destroying the Economy. Is It Intentional? By Stephen Moore

Everywhere I go, people are mystified about President Joe Biden's economic agenda. So few of the policies comport with basic common sense that I'm asked the same question over and over: Is Biden intentionally trying to take a wrecking ball to the economy?

White letter R on blue background
October 21, 2022

Fundamentals, from COVID to Crime, Favor Republicans By Michael Barone

If Democrats take a drubbing in the off-year elections -- and it seems increasingly likely, but not certain, that they will -- it will be because they lost their moorings when the country seemed to go crazy with excessive COVID closedowns and irrational obsessions about systemic racism.

White letter R on blue background
October 20, 2022

The (Updated) Battle for the Statehouses By Louis Jacobson

Chambers in key swing states like Michigan and Nevada get more competitive.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In what we expect to be our final pre-election look at the nation’s legislatures, we are shifting our ratings for 7 chambers. We are moving 5 chambers in the Democrats’ direction, while 2 move in the Republicans’ direction.

— It’s important not to read too much into the imbalance in these shifts favoring the Democrats. The shifts reflect 2 major changes in the political environment since our last handicapping, which was published in May: the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade, and GOP primaries that anointed polarizing candidates aligned with former President Donald Trump for key top-of-the-ballot contests.

— Overall, the landscape for competitive state legislative chambers this year is fairly neutral, with Republicans playing defense in 7 of the 15 chambers we see as competitive and Democrats playing defense in 8. The Toss-up category includes 7 chambers, 3 currently held by Republicans and 4 held by Democrats.

— Several of the key battleground states with high-profile statewide races also have competitive legislative chambers, such as Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada.

White letter R on blue background
October 19, 2022

Obama Propaganda by John Stossel

Netflix is paying Barack and Michelle Obama millions of dollars to produce shows for them.

White letter R on blue background
October 18, 2022

The Left Is Using Science 'Consensus' To Shut Down Free Speech in America By Stephen Moore

It was about eight to 10 years ago that the Left made a unilateral decision to shut down all opposition and any skepticism about climate change by pronouncing that the debate was over.

White letter R on blue background
October 18, 2022

Where US and Ukrainian War Aims Collide By Patrick J. Buchanan

To President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Ukraine, Crimea and the Donbas are national territories whose retrieval justifies all-out war to expel the invading armies of Vladimir Putin's Russia.

White letter R on blue background
October 14, 2022

The Democratic Party's Risk Aversion Is Harming Us All By Michael Barone

Human beings differ in how much risk they will accept. Thus, as an analyst I quoted in a recent column concluded, Russian President Vladimir Putin "was too risk-acceptant" in invading Ukraine and Chinese leader Xi Jinping "has been too risk-averse" in imposing "zero-COVID" lockdowns.

White letter R on blue background
October 13, 2022

2022’s Ballot Measures By Louis Jacobson

States are set to vote on a range of measures dealing with abortion, elections, marijuana, and more.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— As happens every 2 years, voters across the country find a variety of ballot measures to vote on in 2022.

— The most closely watched issues will include abortion, with 3 states voting on protecting abortion rights and 2 others considering whether to impose limitations on abortion; election administration, including efforts to both expand and tighten voting rules; policy toward immigrants; and further expansion of legalized recreational marijuana.

White letter R on blue background
October 12, 2022

Twitter Secrets By John Stossel

I love Twitter.

White letter R on blue background
October 11, 2022

The Mother of All Debt Bombs is Approaching By Brian C. Joondeph

America is facing formidable challenges as we approach the midterm elections when voters can exercise their choice to make a course correction in current leadership and the direction of the country.

White letter R on blue background
October 11, 2022

The New Global Virus Is Runaway Government Spending and Debt By Stephen Moore

When new British Prime Minister Liz Truss suggested lowering the United Kingdom's highest tax rate from 45% to 40%, along with a 1% reduction in the income tax rate for all taxpayers, the bond markets and the central bankers around the world went stark raving mad.

White letter R on blue background
October 7, 2022

It's a Hinge Year in History -- for Russia and China By Michael Barone

Will 2022 turn out be a hinge year, as a moment when long-standing trends in geopolitics suddenly shifted in a different direction? This week, two important writers, one a long-established and prolific historian, the other a provocative presence on the internet, have argued persuasively that the answer is yes. But there's one other interesting point in common: Neither sees the United States as having played a decisive role in the sudden shift.

White letter R on blue background
October 6, 2022

The 2022 Ad Wars By Kyle Kondik

What we learned watching more than 300 campaign ads released in the second half of September.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— To get a flavor of the 2022 ad messages from both sides, we watched nearly 350 campaign ads that came out in the second half of September.

— Abortion dominates Democratic messaging, while Republicans are much less likely to mention it. Crime has become a huge focus for Republicans, with Democrats trying to inoculate themselves by featuring law enforcement officers in their ads.

— Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi are frequently cited in Republican attack ads, but other politicians make cameos in ads not directly related to their states/districts.