The Kinds of Seats that Flip in Midterms By Kyle Kondik
Looking back on past recent waves to assess Republicans’ potential in November.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— While increasingly salient issues like abortion could change the political environment, Republicans still appear on track for a strong showing in the U.S. House.
— Recent midterms have hollowed out the presidential party’s holdings of districts where the president either did the same or worse than he did nationally or only a little better.
— Republicans likely will have trouble winning districts where Joe Biden won more than 55% of the vote, but that still leaves them dozens of Democratic-held targets below that mark as redistricting is finalized.