Politics

Washington Senate: Cantwell (D) 52%, Baumgartner (R) 37%

Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell continues to hold a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Baumgartner in Washington State’s U.S. Senate race. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Cantwell earning 52% support, while Baumgartner, a state senator, draws 37% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Missouri Senate: McCaskill 51%, Akin 43%

Incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill continues to lead Republican Congressman Todd Akin in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 43%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43%

Mitt Romney now has a double-digit lead in Missouri.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters, taken the night after the second presidential debate, finds Romney with 54% support to President Obama’s 43%. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Tea Party, Liberal Are Still Most Negative Political Labels

Linking a candidate to the Tea Party is still the most negative political label as far as voters are concerned, with liberal number two on the negative scale. Conservative and moderate are the most positive labels. But, not surprisingly, there remains a strong difference of opinion between Republicans and Democrats.

Rasmussen Reports periodically asks Likely U.S. Voters to rate political labels, and the latest national telephone survey finds that 44% regard Tea Party as a negative description for a candidate. Twenty-six percent (26%) consider it a positive and another 26% somewhere in between. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15-16, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

Washington: Obama 55%, Romney 42%

President Obama has extended his lead over Mitt Romney in Washington State.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Obama with 55% support to 42% for Romney. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

In Rasmussen Reports’ first look at this race in late September, Obama held a 52% to 44% advantage over his GOP challenger. 

Washington now moves from Likely Obama to Safe Obama in the Electoral College Scoreboard. Obama defeated Senator John McCain 58% to 41% in the state in 2008.

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

71% Favor Requiring Voter ID at the Polls

Support remains high for requiring voters to prove their identity at the polls, but more voters than ever believe requiring photo identification is discriminatory. However, there are wide partisan differences of opinion on this issue.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 66% of Likely U.S. Voters believe voter fraud is a serious problem in America today, with 33% who say it is a Very Serious one. Twenty-eight percent (28%) disagree, but that includes just 12% who say it’s Not At All Serious. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 11-12, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington Governor: Inslee (D) 47%, McKenna (R) 45%

The race to be Washington’s next governor remains virtually tied.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Democrat Jay Inslee holding a slight edge over Republican Rob McKenna, 47% to 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

19% See PBS/NPR Funding As A Major Issue

Mitt Romney in the first presidential debate said he would cut funding for public broadcasting as part of his overall plan to reduce government spending, and Democrats responded by running ads with Sesame Street's Big Bird defending taxpayer-funded television. But just 19% of Americans think cutting funding to the Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) and National Public Radio (NPR) should be a major issue in the current presidential election. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 66% of adults do not see funding for public broadcasting as a major campaign issue, but 15% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Michigan Senate: Stabenow (D) 51%, Hoekstra (R) 39%

Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow still earns over 50% support in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Stabenow with 51% support while her Republican challenger, Peter Hoekstra, receives 39% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while seven percent (7%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

51% Think Ambassador’s Murder Will Hurt Obama At the Polls

Voters are now more critical of how the Obama administration has handled the situation in Libya, including the murder of the U.S. ambassador there, and most think it will hurt President Obama’s chances for reelection. However, they are slightly more confident in the president than Mitt Romney to handle events in the Middle East.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 35% of Likely U.S. Voters now rate the way the administration has responded to the situation in Libya as good or excellent. That’s down nine points from 44% in mid-September just after the murder of Ambassador Christopher Stevens. Forty percent (40%) view the administration’s Libya response as poor, up from 34% a month ago. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on October 13-14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Only 23% Say U.S. Spends Too Much on National Security

The level of defense spending has become a hot campaign issue with Republicans opposing scheduled upcoming military budget cuts. Just 23% of voters now say the United States spends too much on national security, the lowest finding over the past year of regular tracking.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters say the country spends about the right amount on national security, while 27% say it does not spend enough. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 7-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

New Mexico Senate: Heinrich (D) 52%, Wilson (R) 39%

Democrat Martin Heinrich maintains his double-digit lead over his Republican challenger, Heather Wilson, in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Heinrich with 52% support to Wilson’s 39%.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while another five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology. 

18% Consider Vice Presidential Debate Very Important To Their Vote

Voters are attaching less importance to tonight’s vice presidential debate compared to the one four years ago but think Paul Ryan will do more in the debate to help his running mate than Joe Biden will. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 58% of Likely U.S. Voters consider the performance of the vice presidential candidates in the debate to be at least somewhat important to how they will vote, while 40% disagree. This includes 18% who view the candidates’ performances as Very Important and 12% who rate them as Not At All Important to their vote. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 9-10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

48% Rate A Candidate’s Religious Faith Important to Their Vote

When John F. Kennedy ran for the presidency in 1960, many considered his Catholic faith a total disqualifier. Now fewer than half of voters regard a candidate’s religious beliefs as important at all to how they will vote, much less the deciding factor.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters now rate a candidate’s religious faith as important to their vote, while slightly more (51%) do not.

These figures include only 19% for whom the faith of a candidate is Very Important. That’s down 16 points, though, from 35% in November 2006.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 3-4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

New Mexico: Obama 54%, Romney 43%

President Obama continues to hold an 11-point lead over Mitt Romney in New Mexico.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of New Mexico Likely Voters shows the president with 54% of the vote to Romney’s 43%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate,  and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Voters Trust Romney 50% to 43% Over Obama on Economy

Voters again trust Mitt Romney slightly more than President Obama on five major issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. The widest gap in trust continues to be the economy where Romney has a seven-point lead.

The latest national telephone survey finds that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters trust Romney more than the president when it comes to handling the economy, the issue that remains number one among voters as Election Day approaches. Forty-three percent (43%) trust the president more. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 7-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

55% Still Think Obama Is The Likely Winner in November

Despite his stumbling debate performance, President Obama is still considered the favorite in the race for the White House.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Likely U.S. Voters believe that regardless of who they want to win, Obama is most likely to win the presidential election this year. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 35% think his Republican challenger Mitt Romney is the most likely winner. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

65% Think Media Reports More on Negative Campaigning Than on Issues

Most Americans already think there are more negative campaign advertisements on television this year, but they also feel the media focuses more on negative campaigning. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 65% of American Adults believe the media reports more on negative campaigning than on issues raised by candidates. Just 18% think the media reports on the issues more, but just as many (17%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 26-27, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

53% See Election As Referendum on Obama’s Agenda

Most voters view this year’s election as a referendum on the Obama presidency rather than one on his Republican challenger’s plans for the future. But independent voters don’t believe that as strongly as GOP voters and Democrats do.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 53% of Likely U.S. Voters consider this election as a referendum on President Obama’s agenda. Only 25% regard it as more about Mitt Romney’s agenda, but nearly as many voters (21%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an IPad: Take the Rasmussen Challenge. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 1-2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

Just 17% View Debates as Very Important to How They Will Vote

Voters are attaching less significance to the outcome of tonight’s first presidential debate compared to the kick-off debate four years ago.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Likely U.S. Voters say they are likely to watch the presidential debates this year, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. That includes 65% who are Very Likely to watch, but that’s down nine points from 74% in September 2008.

Still, just 12% say they are not very or Not At All Likely to watch the debates this year. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 29-30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.