In Washington, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Bush lost Washington's Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows of the vote and Senator Kerry with 50% and President Bush with 41%. This 9 point lead is considerably more comfortable for the Senator than Al Gore's 2 point margin of victory in the state four years ago.
In New York, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 58% of the vote and President Bush with 30%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry New York by a 25 point margin.
In Oklahoma, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 63% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 31%. In Election 2000, Bush won Oklahoma by twenty-two percentage points, beating Al Gore 60% to 38%.
In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 42%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.
In Georgia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 52% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 41%.
In Alabama, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush leading by 14 percentage points over Senator Kerry.
In Illinois, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 53% of the vote and President Bush with 37%. This is essentially unchanged from a month ago when Kerry was ahead 54% to 37%.
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 44% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.
Last month, it was Bush 47% Kerry 41% in our Michigan poll. However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry leading by a smaller margin, 46% to 42%. At that time, we moved Michigan from "Leans Kerry" to "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).
In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 45%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.
In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 43%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Maine, the race for the White House is as close as it can be. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.
Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 46% of all voters now believe the Bush-Cheney ticket will be re-elected while 44% say the Kerry-Edward team will win.
Initial reaction to John Edwards shows that 46% of Likely Voters have a favorable opinion of the Democrat's Vice-Presidential candidate.
In Iowa, President Bush has gained ground over the past month but still trails Senator Kerry 48% to 44%. Our last Iowa survey found Kerry leading by eight percentage points, 49% to 41%.
In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 44%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.
As the city of Boston prepares to welcome the Democratic Convention, Massachusetts voters prefer their home state Senator over President Bush by a 60% to 31% margin.
Four years ago, without the home state advantage, Al Gore defeated Bush in Massachusetts 60% to 33%. A month ago, the Rasmussen Reports poll found Kerry ahead 58% to 33%.
In Texas, Bush now leads Massachusetts Senator John Kerry 55% to 37%. Four years ago, Bush won his home state 59% to 38%.
Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 and a toss-up for most of Election 2004 is now leaning towards Senator John Kerry.
New Jersey looks ready to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.
The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with a ten point lead over President Bush, 51% to 41%. New Jersey remains in the "Likely Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections.
