Election 2024: Harris 49%, Trump 48% in Michigan

A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker finds that, if the election were held today, 49% of Likely Michigan voters would vote for Harris, while 48% would vote for Trump. One percent (1%) say they would vote for some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are still undecided.

In the previous survey, Harris and Trump were tied at 48% each. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Michigan’s U.S. Senate contest to fill the seat of retiring Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow is also now a one-point race, with Republican Mike Rogers at 46% to Democrat Elissa Slotkin’s 45%. Three percent (3%) of Michigan voters would choose some other Senate candidate and six percent (6%) remain undecided. Rogers and Slotkin were tied at 44% each in the previous survey.

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The survey of 908 Michigan Likely Voters was conducted October 24-November 1, 2024, by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Most Michigan voters see either the economy (34%) or border security (20%) as the most important issue in the election, while 14% rank abortion as most important. When asked which issue is the most important one for the next president to solve, voters are almost evenly divided between rising prices (32%) and illegal immigration (30%).

“When it comes to immigration, Michigan’s LVs [likely voters] have had enough,” said American Thinker managing editor Andrea Widburg.

“When asked about the current rate of legal immigration, 36% want it to decrease, and 23% want a moratorium. Meanwhile, 60% of them think that the word ‘invasion’ very or somewhat accurately describes the influx of illegal aliens across the Southern border. Moreover, when contemplating the illegal aliens already in America, 64% of Michiganders would like to see the military stop them. The largest number of respondents (28%) blame Biden for the situation.”

Among other findings of the Rasmussen Reports/American Thinker survey of Michigan voters:

– In the battle to control the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans and Democrats in Michigan are tied on the so-called “generic ballot” question at 48% each.

– Just 30% of Michigan voters say they are better off than they were four years ago, while a majority (63%) aren’t better off. Only 19% believe today’s children will be better off than their parents, while 53% don’t think so and 28% are not sure.

– Eighty-two percent (82%) consider it Very Important to prevent cheating in elections, and 53% believe it is at least somewhat likely that wider use of mail-in voting will lead to more cheating in elections.

– Forty-three percent (43%) of whites, 83% of black voters, 55% of Hispanics and 59% of other minorities would vote for Harris, while 55% of whites, 11% of black voters, 44% of Hispanics and 38% of other minorities would vote for Trump.

– The “gender gap” is a significant factor in Michigan, where men favor Trump by a 10-point margin – 53% to Harris’s 43% – and Harris wins women voters by a 12-point margin, with 55% to Trump’s 43%.

– Breaking down the Michigan electorate by age categories, Harris leads by a 25-point margin among voters under 30, while Trump has more than a 30-point lead among those 65 and older.

Trump has a three-point lead over Harris in the battleground state of Wisconsin. 

Trump has a three-point lead over Harris in our final national poll of the 2024 presidential election. 

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to the public as well as to Platinum Members.

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